What do you mean by 'very likely to be wrong' and 'not understood' (no scarecaps pls)? There are uncertainties, and there are still unanswered scientific questions, but the measured change in temperatures largely corresponds to the midrange predictions from climate models 20 years ago.

Don't mistake "I don't understand the science" for "the science behind climate change is weak". Go out, learn some coupled atmospheric modeling PDEs, and build a climate model yourself (Claude can help). It'll only take a few days. You'll learn a lot about what's known and the sources of uncertainty.

Ha! climate models are updated to account for what they get wrong, but off course there are so many thousands of "runs" published that there is "proof" that they got it right the first time. The uncertainty factor surounds the rate of ocean water expansion due to warming ,and resultant sea level rise,coupled with destabising ice sheets, glacial outflows, and other effects on perma frost, natural releae of CO², methane, and calthrates, and quite literaly 50~100 other drivers of atmospheric changes, albedo , rock weathering,cloud density, water vapour, bla baa, fucking blaaa!, on and on it goes been watching and reading since my mom taught me to read @ 3yr's old and nobodys model has reliable data for everything, just factoring in the effects of small waves in the southern ocean will SWAMP, ha!, is totaly beyond claude or even the very best teams, so guesses at best, HUGE unknowns that represent energy exchanges that introduce uncertainties rendering the outputs essentialy useless.