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For manned space flight, so far 18 people have died out of 430 that went to space. (14 Americans in two shuttle accidents, and 4 Russians in two separate incidents)

That's only slightly lower than 1/18.

The shuttle had a 40% vehicular failure rate (2 out of 5) and a 1.5% flight failure rate. That's better than 1/18, but not by that much.



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